Chargers vs Jets NFL Preview & Free Pick [11/6/2023]

LA Chargers (3-4) at NY Jets (4-3)
When: Monday, November 6th, 2023
Where: MetLife Stadium,
East Rutherford, NJ

Time: 8:15 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -1.5/43

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The resurgent New York Jets will look to make it four wins in a row when they host the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday Night Football to close out Week 9. After Aaron Rodgers was hurt early in Week 1, fans and everyone else thought the season was over. New York did go on to win that game against Buffalo, but then lost three-straight. Now the team rides a three-game winning streak thanks to a stingy pass defense that is fifth-best in the NFL and held opponents to 15.0 points per game during the streak.

The Chargers will enter this game with the sixth-best passing offense behind Justin Herbert, but the running game needs to improve. The Bolts are near the bottom of the league at 103.6 yards per game on the ground. Running back Austin Ekeler is averaging a career-low 3.7 yards per rush and has just one touchdown on the ground in four games. Los Angeles is coming off a big 30-13 victory at home over the Chicago Bears last week.

The Chargers come into this contest as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 39.5. Los Angeles leads the all-time series 23-14-1 including playoffs and has won each of the last four. The most recent was during the 2020 season in which the Chargers won 34-28 at home. New York was 0-9 entering that game and started Joe Flacco. Herbert was a rookie and passed for 366 yards and three touchdowns. The Jets are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

The Chargers have had a roller coaster season with back-to-back losses to open the season before back-to-back wins. Then they lost two straight again before last Sunday’s easy win over the Bears. Herbert was on point last week, going 31-for-40 for 298 yards and three scores while building a 24-7 halftime lead. The Chargers offensive line didn’t allow a sack in the game, while the defense forced two takeaways and denied Chicago on a trio of fourth-downs.

Gerald Everett (hip) was a full participant in Thursday’s practice, but Joshua Palmer (knee) did not practice. Wide receiver Jalen Guyton (knee) was a full participant and is close to making his 2023 debut. Eric Kendricks (ribs) and D-lineman Morgan Fox (oblique) were limited.

Los Angeles Chargers Injury Report [Week 9]

Gerald EverettTEProb Mon - Quadricep - 11/2/23
Kenneth Murray Jr.LBQues Mon - Shoulder - 11/3/23
Morgan FoxDLQues Mon - Oblique - 11/2/23
Eric KendricksLBQues Mon - Ribs - 11/2/23
Joshua PalmerWROut Mon - Knee - 11/4/23
Raheem LayneSOut indefinitely - Knee - 10/18/23
JT WoodsSOut indefinitely - Illness - 10/4/23
Corey LinsleyCOut indefinitely - Illness - 9/30/23
Mike WilliamsWRI-R - Knee - 10/22/23
Jalen GuytonWROut indefinitely - Knee - 8/29/23
Otito OgbonniaDLOut indefinitely - Knee - 8/29/23

The Jets came up with a miracle victory last week against the New York Giants. The G-Men were set to take a 13-7 lead with under 30 seconds left, but Graham Gano missed a 35-yard field goal. With no timeouts, Zach Wilson got the Jets set up for a Greg Zuerlein 35-yard field goal on the final play of regulation. Zuerlein added the winning 33-yarder with 6:09 left in overtime for the 13-10 win. Wilson was just 17-for-36 but had 240 yards and a TD with no turnovers.

The defense held the Giants to minus-9 net passing yards – a franchise record for the Jets and a franchise low for the Giants. The anchor of the Jets’ defensive line is All-Pro tackle Quinnen Williams, while tackle Quinton Jefferson has 3 1/2 sacks and seven quarterback hits this season. Jermaine Johnson II has a team-high 4.0 sacks, while linebacker Bryce Huff has 3.5 sacks, all in the past three games.

New York Jets Injury Report [Week 9]

Randall CobbWRProb Mon - Shoulder - 11/3/23
Allen LazardWRQues Mon - Knee - 11/4/23
Joe TippmannCQues Mon - Quadricep - 10/31/23
Irvin CharlesWRQues Mon - Shoulder - 10/31/23
Israel AbanikandaRBOut indefinitely - Thigh - 10/8/23
Al WoodsDLI-R - Achilles - 10/31/23
Connor McGovernCOut indefinitely - Knee - 10/30/23
Wes SchweitzerOLOut indefinitely - Calf - 10/31/23
Justin HardeeCBOut indefinitely - Hamstring - 10/14/23
Alijah Vera-TuckerGI-R - Achilles - 10/11/23
Duane BrownOTQues Mon - Shoulder - 11/2/23
Aaron RodgersQBI-R - Ankle - 9/12/23
Kenny YeboahTEOut indefinitely - Hamstring - 8/31/23
Ifeadi OdenigboDEI-R - Undisclosed - 8/15/23
Maalik HallLBI-R - Undisclosed - 8/11/23
Chuck ClarkSI-R - Knee - 7/19/23

The Jets are very much alive in the playoff race and have a lot of momentum. Yes, the offense is not good, but it is improving. The defense has been outstanding and will make life tough for Herbert. I expect a low-scoring affair that could easily end in a 3-point game either way. I’ll take the points.

Week 9 Staff Selections

Pick: Jets +3.5