Butler vs UConn Championship Trends, and Free Pick [2011]

Butler (28-9) vs Connecticut (31-9)
When: Monday, April 4th, 2011
Where: Reliant Stadium, Houston, Texas
Time: 9:20 ET

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The point spread for Monday’s NCAA Championship Game between the Butler Bulldogs and Connecticut Huskies opened up at -4 in favor of the Huskies after they finished off Kentucky in the Final Four Semifinals at Online sportsbook.eu and the total was set at 129.5. As of Sunday afternoon the line has gone down to 3.5 and the total went down 1 point to 128.5. So far, 68% of the betting public is on Butler and 53% are on the under. Here are the latest trends for this game:

Bulldogs are 22-5-2 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Bulldogs are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog.

Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Huskies are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games.

Over is 6-2 in Bulldogs last 8 neutral site games.

Over is 8-3-1 in Bulldogs last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 5-1 in Huskies last 6 neutral site games.

Under is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 non-conference games.

My Prediction: I don’t think it’s any surprise that the UCONN Huskies are playing for another championship this year. They took the Maui Invitational back in November and the Big East title last month. Now they play for the biggest of them all. They face a team in Butler who I’m amazed is playing for another shot at the title in 2 years. This Butler team will just not go away. You would think when they lost their best player last year that they would struggle, but with a great coach and some blue-collar players, they have a great shot at winning. As long as Matt Howard stays out of foul trouble, which he has so far, the Bulldogs will keep this one close and pull it out in the end.

Butler +3.5

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