Brewers vs Twins Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [5/28/19]

Milwaukee (31-24) at Minnesota (36-17)
When: Tuesday, May 28th, 2019
Where: Target Field,
Minneapolis, MN
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: FS Wisconsin,
FS North
Opening Odds: Minnesota -115/9.5


The red-hot Minnesota Twins were cooled-off a bit by the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday to snap their six-game winning streak, but will try and rebound to split their two-game interleague series on Tuesday. Minnesota had scored seven runs or more in five straight games before they struck out 13 times in the 5-4 setback Monday. Jonathan Schoop, C.J. Cron and Miguel Sano all K’d three times as the Twins lost for just the second time in 13 games. Byron Buxton blasted a three-run homer and Max Kepler went 2-for-4 for his sixth straight multi-hit performance and is riding a nine-game hitting streak while going 18-for-38 with four homers and 14 RBIs during that span. The Brewers have now won back-to-back games after losing five of seven and begin their six-game road trip on a high-note. Orlando Arcia smashed a two-run homer in the eighth inning while Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich drove in runs with sacrifice flies. Yelich, leads the majors with 21 homers but six of his last seven have been with the bases empty. Tuesday’s game will feature two pitchers who are a combined 12-1 on the season in Zach Davies and Martin Perez.

Pitchers: Brewers – Zach Davies (5-0, 2.43 ERA) | Twins – Martin Perez (7-1, 2.95)

Davies is an All-Star candidate despite coming off his worst outing to date when he allowed six runs and six hits in three innings of a no-decision against Cincinnati. Davies allowed three runs in his previous outing to Philadelphia – the first time all season he surrendered more than two. He has one start against Minnesota on his resume and it wasn’t good. Davies allowed seven runs – six earned – and 11 hits in 5.2 innings back in 2017.

Milwaukee is 6-1 versus the Twins over the past two seasons.


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Perez beat the Los Angeles Angels – as we predicted – in his latest outing but received a ton of run support to make his job easier. The Twins routed L.A. 16-7 last Thursday and Perez gave up two runs and six hits over five innings and left after 88 pitches. Perez also lost his only career start against tonight’s opponent when he was with the Texas Rangers back in 2016. He surrendered eight runs and nine hits in 6.2 innings.

This is a great pitching matchup but Davies’ last two outings were his worst and might not have a ton of confidence coming in to face this fierce Minnesota lineup. Perez has been outstanding and all the Twins do when he pitches is hit. Minnesota is 6-2 when he starts and they average 8.12 runs a game for him. Look for the Twins to rebound tonight.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Tuesday. He is 69-43 +2012 units on the season after a 19-5 run!

Pick: Twins -144


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BETTING TRENDS:

Brewers are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games.
Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 games following a win.
Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games.
Brewers are 6-1 in Davies’ last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Brewers are 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 starts.
Brewers are 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 starts on grass.
Brewers are 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 interleague starts.
Brewers are 6-2 in Davies’ last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 2-5 in Davies’ last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 3-9 in Davies’ last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 2-7 in Davies’ last 9 starts during game 2 of a series.

Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 13-3 in their last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss.
Twins are 38-14 in their last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Twins are 38-15 in their last 53 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Twins are 10-4 in their last 14 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 10-4 in their last 14 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Twins are 42-17 in their last 59 overall.
Twins are 39-17 in their last 56 games on grass.
Twins are 48-21 in their last 69 home games.
Twins are 13-6 in their last 19 interleague home games.
Twins are 5-13 in their last 18 interleague games.
Twins are 5-13 in their last 18 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. National League Central.
Twins are 4-0 in Perez’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Twins are 4-0 in Perez’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 6-1 in Perez’s last 7 starts.
Twins are 5-1 in Perez’s last 6 starts on grass.

Under is 8-0 in Brewers last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 8-0 in Brewers last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 30-10 in Brewers last 40 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 15-5-1 in Brewers last 21 interleague road games.
Under is 23-8-1 in Brewers last 32 road games.
Under is 9-4 in Brewers last 13 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 24-11-2 in Brewers last 37 interleague games.
Under is 35-17-1 in Brewers last 53 Tuesday games.
Under is 7-1 in Davies’ last 8 road starts.
Under is 6-1 in Davies’ last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 5-1 in Davies’ last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 5-1 in Davies’ last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 14-3-1 in Davies’ last 18 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 interleague starts.
Under is 17-5 in Davies’ last 22 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 27-9-1 in Davies’ last 37 starts overall.
Under is 26-9-1 in Davies’ last 36 starts on grass.
Under is 18-7-1 in Davies’ last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2 in Davies’ last 7 Tuesday starts.

Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
Over is 6-2 in Twins last 8 Tuesday games.
Under is 6-2-1 in Twins last 9 games following a loss.
Under is 5-2-1 in Twins last 8 home games.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 22-10-2 in Twins last 34 interleague home games.
Under is 4-0 in Perez’s last 4 home starts.
Under is 5-1 in Perez’s last 6 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in Perez’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-1 in Perez’s last 5 starts on grass.

Brewers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota.

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