Milwaukee (91-67) at St Louis (87-71)
When: Wednesday, September 26th 2018
Where: Busch Stadium,
St Louis, Missouri
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: St Louis -110/8.5
The most important series going on right now wraps-up Wednesday night, as the surging Milwaukee Brewers go for the three-game sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. Milwaukee has put themselves within a half-game of the first place Chicago Cubs in the National League Central, while dropping the Cardinals a half-game behind the Colorado Rockies for the second wild card spot after last night’s 12-4 triumph. National League MVP-candidate Christian Yelich collected a career-high six RBIs, including a three-run blast, in Tuesday’s victory – Milwaukee’s fifth in six games. Yelich has reached base in 12 straight games against St. Louis and is 15-for-32 with 10 extra-base hits and 15 RBIs during an eight-game hitting streak overall. The Brewers clinched the season series and home-field advantage should the two meet in next week’s wild card game. The Cardinals have lost two straight after winning six of seven, and their remaining schedule doesn’t get any easier. After the finale with the Brewers, St. Louis heads to Wrigley Field for three against the Cubs to close the regular season.
Pitchers: Brewers – Jhoulys Chacin (14-8, 3.61 ERA) | Cardinals – John Gant (7-6, 3.53)
Jhoulys Chacin has been Milwaukee’s most consistent pitcher this season, but is winless in four starts this month, and hasn’t pitched past the fifth inning in any of them. Chacin allowed three runs over four innings in a no-decision at Pittsburgh last week, serving up a pair of home runs in the process. He is 1-7 with a 6.10 ERA in 10 games (nine starts) against the Cardinals, who have hit him for 17 runs (14 earned) in 20.2 innings across four encounters this season.
John Gant hasn’t been much better than Chacin and has issued 21 walks in 30.2 innings across his last six starts. Gant pitched just 2.2 innings against San Francisco last time out, allowing one run, four hits, and three walks in a no-decision. He is 0-2 with a 4.73 ERA in four games (two starts) against the Brewers.
I would be inclined to take the Cardinals in this one based on how bad Chacin has been against them, but Gant is struggling with his command and the Brewers have a terrific lineup that will take advantage of that. Look for a Milwaukee sweep here as the NL Central gets really interesting.
Pick: Brewers +100
BETTING TRENDS:
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 9-2 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Brewers are 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 road starts.
- Brewers are 13-6 in Chacin’s last 19 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Brewers are 1-4 in Chacin’s last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
- Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Cardinals are 11-5 in their last 16 during game 3 of a series.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in Gant’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in Gant’s last 5 starts.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in Gant’s last 5 starts on grass.
- Cardinals are 2-6 in Gant’s last 8 starts vs. National League Central.
- Cardinals are 1-4 in Gant’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 1-5 in Gant’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 Wednesday games.
- Under is 9-4 in Brewers last 13 overall.
- Under is 9-4 in Brewers last 13 on grass.
- Under is 9-4 in Brewers last 13 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1 in Chacin’s last 5 road starts.
- Over is 7-2 in Chacin’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 11-5-1 in Cardinals last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 37-17-2 in Cardinals last 56 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Gant’s last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Gant’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Gant’s last 8 starts vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in St. Louis.
