49ers vs Falcons Spread, Trends, and Free Pick NFC Championship Game

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The point spread for Sunday’s NFC Championship Game between the San Francisco 49ers and Atlanta Falcons opened up at -4 on Monday afternoon in favor of the 49ers at Bovada.lv. As of Friday night, the line has settled back to 4 after it went up to 5 for a brief time. The total opened up at 48.5 as has inched up to 49. Right now, 69% of the betting public is on the 49ers and 64% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.

49ers are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Falcons are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.

Falcons are 3-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 6-1 in 49ers last 7 vs. NFC.

Over is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 playoff home games.

Under is 6-1 in Falcons last 7 home games.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Underdog is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

Mike Ivcic’s Prediction: The 49’ers enter this game as the biggest road favorite in a conference championship game in three decades, which says all you need to know about the confidence Vegas has in Atlanta. And yes, blowing a 20-point lead at home in the fourth quarter of a playoff game is cause for concern. But after watching Tom Brady’s last-gasp effort in the Super Bowl eleven months ago combined with Peyton Manning’s best Brett Favre imitation last week, it might actually be accurate to call Matt Ryan the best late-game “closer” of any QB in the NFL right now (hold on… I’ll give you a minute to pick your jaw off the ground and re-read that last sentence… ok, welcome back). He made two pinpoint throws for the perfect yardage after what could have easily been a sucker-punch by the Seahawks, giving Matt Bryant the opportunity to push Atlanta into the NFC Championship game. The last time this franchise was here, they went into Minnesota as the 2-seed against the 1-seed and defeated a high-powered offense – which sounds exactly what the 49’ers are going to try to do this Sunday. Had the Niners just squeaked by Green Bay last week, or managed to control the game with some sort of defensive stand or special teams play, I would probably be taking Atlanta here. But after watching Colin Kaepernick turn the Packers defense inside out and seem completely unfazed by the magnitude of playing his first-ever NFL playoff game, I’m going to give Jim Harbaugh the benefit of the doubt and believe in his quarterback just as much as he does.

Pick: San Francisco 34, Atlanta Falcons 28

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